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     Research Journal of Applied Sciences, Engineering and Technology


Probability Modelling of Wind Velocity for Assessment of Wind Energy at Alexandria Coast

A.A.H. El-gindy and Elham S. El-nashar
Department of Physical Oceanography, Faculty of Science, Alexandria University, Alexandria, Egypt
Research Journal of Applied Sciences, Engineering and Technology  2014  18:2001-2015
http://dx.doi.org/10.19026/rjaset.8.1192  |  © The Author(s) 2014
Received: September ‎07, ‎2014  |  Accepted: September ‎20, ‎2014  |  Published: November 15, 2014

Abstract

For the wind energy assessment, it is important to know the probability density distribution of the wind speed in order to calculate the mean power of a wind. In this study wind data, for the period from January 2000 to December 2002, hourly records of speed and direction at Alexandria coast are analyzed as random monthly observations. Statistical methods are used for determination of best fit random distributions of wind speed and direction using statistical standard software that helps in evaluation of wind speed energy potential in a study area. In the present paper, different theoretical Probability Density Functions (PDF) have been tried to determine the appropriate models, including Weibull distribution and their parameters. The minimum wind power density at Alexandria found in July and August (2000-2002) were 20.41 and 21.34 w/m2 and the maximum was in December and January (110.81 and 123.34 w/m2). The most important distributions of the wind speed were Weibull and Dagum and the direction followed mostly the Johnson SB model.

Keywords:

Alexandria Egypt, probability modelling, wind energy, wind power density,


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Competing interests

The authors have no competing interests.

Open Access Policy

This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made.

Copyright

The authors have no competing interests.

ISSN (Online):  2040-7467
ISSN (Print):   2040-7459
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