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Abstract
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Article Information:
Electric Power Demand Forecasting: A Case Study of Lucknow City
A.K. Bhardwaj and R.C. Bansal
Corresponding Author: A.K. Bhardwaj
Submitted: 2010 April, 23
Accepted: 2010 May, 14
Published: 2011 March, 30 |
Abstract:
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The study of forecasting identifies the urgent need for special attention in evolving effective energy
policies to alleviate an energy famine in the near future. Since power demand is increasing day by day in entire
world and it is also one of the fundamental infrastructure input for the development, its prospects and
availability sets significant constraints on the socio-economic growth of every person as well as every country.
A care full long-term power plan is imperative for the development of power sector. This need assumes more
importance in the state of Uttar Pradesh where the demand for electrical energy is growing at a rapid pace. This
study analyses the requirement of electricity with respect to the future population for the major forms of energy
in the Lucknow city in Uttar Pradesh state of India. A model consisting of significant key energy indicators
have been used for the estimation. Model wherever required refined in the second stage to remove the effect
of auto-correlation. The accuracy of the model has been checked using standard statistical techniques and
validated against the past data by testing for ‘expost’ forecast accuracy.
Key words: Energy forecasting, energy modeling, power demand, , , ,
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Cite this Reference:
A.K. Bhardwaj and R.C. Bansal, . Electric Power Demand Forecasting: A Case Study of Lucknow City. Research Journal of Applied Sciences, Engineering and Technology, (03): 149-152.
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ISSN (Online): 2040-7467
ISSN (Print): 2040-7459 |
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